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ESEA-O S3 Week 6.2 Predictions

ESEA-O's week 6:2 features some pretty good matchups between top teams in both divisions on cp_yukon.  Let's get right into it by starting with the Central division:
 
404 Not Found vs. eXpertise
 
This should be a really even matchup.  404 recently replaced their medic, Happiness is a Warm Gun (most of you probably know him as 'that blank name guy') with Lucious, and will be looking to get their first win with him starting after coming off two tough losses to the #1 and #2 placed teams in the division.
 
eXpertise is on a pretty big roll with a 6-game win streak (granted, two of those were forfeits, but still) and I'm sure they're looking to extend it.  They're definitely a competent team, with decisive wins over mid-level squads like No Grid, but they've seemed to falter against some of the more challenging opponents in the division -- and 404 definitely falls into the latter category when they're playing well.
 
Yukon is a scout map through and through - and the matchups between stress/ComeToJesus and anon/KillZ should be pretty even and fun to watch, especially if CTJ and KillZ start sniping.  This could definitely go either way, but I'll call the (slight) upset and say 404 takes this.  5-4 404 Not Found
 
Knights of Goku vs. No Grid
 
My team's match!  I won't be there, so hopefully they don't screw up too bad without me.
 
Area 51 vs. Iconic
 
Iconic is a solid mid-level team that surprised me when they beat 404 -- unfortunately for murder & crew, they're a little outclassed this round, even with Area 51's loss of their starting demoman, ruffian.  Cbear's rippling half-Arabian muscles will power A51 to a pretty sure victory here.  Or is he going on vacation?  I forget.  5-0 Area 51
 
Doin' Work vs. TruWar
 
Is TruWar dead?  I honestly don't know.  I hope my little video didn't do them in.  They haven't forfeit a game yet, but they also haven't PLAYED a game in a week and a half (woo ESEA scheduling!).
 
Assuming this game is played, I think DW is going to be too much for Tru to handle -- they have the deathmatch advantage in every department.  5-0 Doin Work
 
Cool Dudes Team vs. Crack Clan
 
Crack Clan seems to be struggling in ESEA-O, with their only two wins being a forfeit and against a team with only 5 players, but I really have to give them credit for not just dropping out like half of the league.  Sadly, I doubt their luck will change this week.  Cool Dudes Team has too many solid players, especially with their recent pickup of slardel, for CC to have much of a chance.  5-1 Cool Dudes
 
And now for the Eastern matches!
 
eXult vs. Strickland Propane
 
This is definitely my match of the ... uh, half-week.  These two teams played each other earlier in the season, and eXult came out with a solid 5-1 victory, though not without controversy -- apparently Strickland played with 5 for most of the game?  In any case, this should be an exciting rematch.
 
Strickland is a much better team than people give them credit for, and with beastly soldier 40jam joining the roster, they're stronger than ever.  eXult is no pushover, though.  They're undefeated, and still scrim 24/7 in a constant effort to improve.  They also had some Quake pro named whaz join, and he plays scout?  I reall don't know, but I swear eXult picks up three new scouts every week (about even with the frequency at which they used to change their team name).
 
Hopefully this will be a really good game, but I see eXult pulling out a second win over the King of the Hill crowd.  Watch for rline to dominate the scout battles (provided that's what they have him playing), and eXult to leave with their undefeated record intact.  5-3 eXult
 
<3 xelorate
 
Overthrow vs. Kryptic Gaming
 
As much as I adore Kryptic for running a heavy as often as they do, I'm not sure how well they're going to fare against a skilled team like Overthrow.  RubyIce and Otter are most likely going to have their nasty way with ghos7ayama & friends.  Don't be surprised if it's close, though -- Kryptic is a competent team when they're on.  5-2 Overthrow
 
The Terribles vs. Throwback
 
Throwback has been performing worse than I expected them to -- I figured they would place 2nd, or maybe 1st in the East division, but so far, every time they've played one of the top East teams, they haven't gotten it done.  That said, these two teams have played before, and Throwback came away with a 5-0 win; I doubt much will be different this time around.  Unless the TWL finalists bring their very best games, Throwback is going to have this one as well fairly easily as well.  5-1 Throwback
 
Zilla Gaming vs Cardboard Robotz
 
Easily my runner up for match to watch for 6:2.  Zilla has lost games that I didn't expect them to lose at all, and whether that was due to lack of practice or what I'm not sure, but they need to be ready for this match.  CR (can I just call them VPolice?) has some ESEA-I talent on their roster, and are looking poised and ready to plow to the playoffs. 
 
Yukon really favors scouts, though, and I think that damn meatshotting jellyfish and his pal Lopert are going to dominate this match.  CR/VPo can win if Fastfire and Zambino, who I'm fairly sure is King Rab, have big games and coach and marv can keep the Zilla scouts at bay long enough for the heavies to do their work (which is no simple task -- notor/Sureshot/Sherr are all nasty, plus they have jk healing them), but otherwise, I see this going to ZG.  5-3 Zilla Gaming
 
That's it!  I would have more but thanks to half of you birdbrains dropping out of the league, all the other matches are forfeits (though I suppose ESEA could stop scheduling the dead teams).  Good luck to all the teams that are actually playing!
Last Updated ( Monday, 03 August 2009 00:43 )
 

ESEA-O S3 Week 6.1 Predictions

Eastern Conference

Cardboard Robots vs. Kryptic

This is my own team, so I’m not going to make any predictions about it.

Zilla Gaming vs. Overthrow

Overthrow is a solid squad in open, a crafty one to their credit, one made even better with the recent acquisition of Raf, a very solid scout. I don’t feel a push map is in their favor, Zilla Gaming is still the defending champ, and a favorite to win the east, and simply has too much talent and experience on Overthrow. Overthrow won’t go down easily however, which is why I have Zilla taking this 5-2.

zG > Overthrow (5:2)

Quick Picks:

Exult > Emergency Masturbation (FFW)

The Terribles > Mob Gaming (FFW)

Strickland Propane > Reverb (5:0 or FFW)

Throwback > Convulsion (5:1)

Central Conference

Area 51 vs. No Grid

It’s likely Area 51 will come into the start of week 6 still boasting an undefeated record, and just as likely that they will still have not had a round taken off of them. Things won’t be any different after the match against No Grid. Although No Grid sports its own respectable 7-3 record, it’s important to note the quality of their wins, but more importantly their losses. Although Expertise is a very good team, an 0-5 loss to them on badlands does not bode well against an even better Area 51 squad. Any team in contention to beat Area 51 is not one that can lose 0-5 to another ESEA open squad.

a51 > No Grid - 5:0

MOTW:

Knights of Goku (9-1) vs. Expertise (7-3)

This is definitely the match of the week for the first set of Yukon matches.  Although, Expertise’s record sits at 7-3, they suffered two losses early in the season to some average teams (one of them apparently played 5v6), but have rebounded since then going 6-1, losing only to doing work which is a formidable team in itself.  They have been playing at the top of their game since then, and are also sitting atop at #1 in our Community Fortress TWL Power Rankings.

Knights of Goku, standing at a dominant 9-1 record, one of the favorites to win open, has only gotten better as a result of Push Gaming’s demise, with the acquisition of top CEVO-P demo Orzo , who although plays soldier for them, still brings a significant improvement to an already high level squad.  (For a sample of Orzo, watch this video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nVrLpevJpKA)

For both teams, their overall skill level is greatly altered by the caliber of their lineups, but I have a feeling both squads will field their starting 6 for this one. While Expertise is good, the experience and chemistry go to the Knights. Yukon is scout friendly, and the scout battle at mid happens finds itself more isolated from the demo than in granary or badlands. So where I would say Expertise has the matchup advantage in the scout department versus most teams, I expect Daniel to carry the load perusual for KOG with LD50 backing him up the whole way.  KOG should take this one, but don’t be shocked if it goes the other way. All in all, I’d be really surprised and disappointed if a rolling occurs one way or the other.

KOG > Expertise - 5:3

404 Not Found (6-3) vs. Doin’ Work (8-2)

This is my Runner-up MOTW pick.  First off we have 404 Not Found, who at the time of this prediction stands with a 6-3 record. Their three losses were all close, none being more than a one round difference in score. Their more notable losses were to the Knights of Goku and Iconic.  They recently picked up a new medic, Lucious, who has had some limited CEVO-P experience playing medic for Team Dynamic for the second half of CEVO-P S2. They also have a strong soldier in Rukk.

Our second team is Doin’ Work, who is just on the fringe of being a contender. Unfortunately for them, working against them in recognizing them as one has been their relatively easy schedule in addition to their only difficult match resulting in a blowout loss, an 0-5 Badlands match versus the Knights of Goku. If DW brings their A-team for this match, which includes waar and likely their latest pickup of forcestealer, then I see DW taking this one 5-2. Anything less and I feel 404 has a chance to bring it to within one round, but I still don’t think they have what it takes to win, yet.

DW > 404 Not Found (5:2)

Quick Picks:

Iconic > vVv (5:3)

Last Updated ( Monday, 03 August 2009 00:46 )
 

TWL W6 S4 Qualifier Predictions

Coming into the second to last week of TWL, D1 is starting to take shape but there are still some teams fighting for their spot in the top division. Some will make it and some will not.

Kryptic Gaming (5-0) vs The Terribles (5-0)

Since this is my match, I got vengeance from cc// to write the prediction for this one.

V’: This should certainly be a good matchup, potential MOTW material.  There seems to be a bit of a rivalry between these teams.  Having played with both of these teams, I know that neither of them will take it lightly.  Cake and Poopinator are fantastic scouts, and will certainly help to carry the Terribles on this map.  However, the soldier combo of Kryptic will prove to be too much for the Terribles to handle. 

Kryptic Gaming > The Terribles 6-4

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Ionic (4-1) vs Rage and Terror (4-1)

Rage and Terror coming off of a surprising loss to Kryptic will look to get back on track here. I don’t see them having much trouble with Ionic who have lost to ATF and pulled out a close win over the Comrades. So far Ionic has had one lucky schedule with no wins over stronger teams so don’t lock them in for D1 just yet.

Bottom Line: Ionic are no match for the scout pair of Lazyeye and Derno (as long as he drops the FAN). This should be a quick roll, unless Ionic comes out with guns blazing.

Rage and Terror > Ionic 6-0

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ATF (4-1) vs SBU (4-1)

Snow Bears is one of the stronger teams that not many people know about…yet. They have a very solid roster through and through. Snow bears should mostly dominate this match and finish it without breaking a sweat; they’re a team to watch. ATF after losing a tough one against the terribles are going to have an even harder time picking up the pieces.

Bottom Line: SBU will just plain outfrag ATF for their 5th victory.

ATF < SBU 6-0

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eXpertise (4-0) vs Kings of Bongo (4-1)

Yet another rolling that will be coming our way in week 6. eXpertise is clearly one of the top teams in TWL this season and Kings of Bongo  just doesn’t have the experience or the skill to give eX their first loss.

Bottom Line: This won’t be a pretty one. If eX pulls out the double heavy strategy, close your eyes.

eXpertise > Kings of Bongo 6-0

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Yofa (4-1) vs nQa (3-1)

nQa is a much stronger team than most people think. With a strong demo in AfroCentric and Swanky Wanker leading their scouts they are another team to watch. They’ll have a challenge this week facing an experienced YOFA team. Yofa being the stronger of the two will take the win but not without dropping a round or two.

Bottom Line: nQa still has a long way to go to be considered a real competitor in D1.

Yofa > nQa 6-2

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Ginger Kids (3-0) vs Truwar (4-1)

This will be one of the closest matches this week. With Truwar losing both grieve and their top player W1rex, they are going to have to find a way pick up the slack. Even though Ginger kids entered into TWL late in the season, they have been making a strong case on why they deserve to be in D1.

Bottom Line:  This is going to be a nail bitter with Truwar pulling out the close win with smart backcaps and strong strategies.

Ginger < Truwar 5-3

Quick Preds:

YMWW > uBer (assuming they don’t forfeit) 6-0
Crack Clan > Epidemic 6-2

GL HF to all the teams.

Last Updated ( Monday, 03 August 2009 00:47 )
 

ESEA-O S3 Week 5.2 Predictions

So up and comes the second round of matches on cp_gravelpit, a personal favorite of mine. What many others and I love about the map is the sheer amount of teamwork required along with the interesting setups that can be used effectively. Hopefully we’ll be able to experience as many matches this week as possible without having to deal with massive amounts of forfeits. We’ve been told that this issue will hopefully be resolved as dead teams will only be scheduled against other dead teams.

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Slaughterhouse Gaming (5-4-0) vs. vVv Gaming (5-3-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

This should be one of the more interesting matches to watch, with both rosters having solid players. With vVv having the solid soldiers and sG having one of the better scouts in open it should be an interesting match in terms of deathmatch. Both teams are coming from a single win off forfeit matches with similar record streaks. This match should definitely be one of the closest matches we’ll see this week. Due to vVv's solid roster and chemistry I’ll have to put them at the win but sG should be able to get a set.

vVv Gaming > Slaughterhouse Gaming (2 – 1)

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Convulsion (2–7–0) vs. eXult TF2 (9-0-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

eXult has an impressive win streak (only one win being a FFW) and Convulsion has not been playing despite having a full roster.  eXult should win without an issue, assuming that Convulsion plays the game.

eXult TF2 > Convulsion (2 – 0)

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Zilla Gaming (7-2-0) vs. the terribles (4-3-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

Zilla Gaming should have this one without a problem.  Although the terribles are definitely shaping up to become a very respectable team, Zilla will be too much for them to handle. One of zG's losses was caused by Strickland Propane, who defeated the terribles last week on cp_pro_dustbowl 2-0. It’ll be interesting to watch the terribles' dm skills in action but it simply won’t be enough for a victory. Although they should considering changing their name because they’re far from terrible now...

Zilla Gaming > the terribles (2-0)

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Kryptic Gaming (4-5-0) vs. Overthrow (4-4-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

Overthrow will defeat Kryptic without too much of an issue since Kryptic's only wins came from forfeits.  Overthrow is a stronger team from what I have seen and should take this 2-0 easily.

Kryptic Gaming < Overthrow (2-0)

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Throwback (5-4-0) vs. reverb (2-6-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

With throwback having a history of beating decent teams, it wouldn’t shock the world to watch them defeat reverb without dropping a round. They have much better teamwork than reverb. But from the looks of it reverb may end up forfeiting anyway.

Throwback > reverb (2-0)

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Emergency Masturbation (0-9-0) vs. Strickland Propane (7-1-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

Emergency Masturbation lacks a full roster, so there's not much to say here.

Emergency Masturbation < Strickland Propane (2-0)

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Iconic eSports (6-3-0) vs. ionic (0-9-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

And again ionic lacks a roster at all, which is kind of annoying since the team has decent potential. But alas they refuse to stick it out.

Iconic eSports > ionic (2-0)

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Silence (2-4-0) vs. Truwar E-Sports (3-6-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

Seeing Silence with 4 games needing to be played worries me a little, but assuming that they actually play I doubt they’ll have a problem with Truwar just by taking a glance at the rosters. Even with their only wins being based off of forfeits, I doubt they’d have an issue. But Truwar may pull out a forfeit victory.

Silence > Truwar (2-0)

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eXpertise (6-3-0) vs. Old School (1-6-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

These are two teams I’m not exactly the most familiar with as of yet. But Old School had quite a bit of forfeits in the past few weeks and has played neither of their dustbowl matches yet. But whether they’re played or not...eXpertise will carry on the win.

eXpertise > Old School (2-0)

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most pro team ever (2-6-0) vs. doin work (7-2-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

Doin work is a very solid and experienced team at this point, where most pro team ever's only wins are a result of forfeits. I have serious doubts in them to pull off a round.

Most pro team ever < doin work (2-0)

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Area  51 Gaming (8-0-0) vs. vVv Gaming (5-3-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

I have a feeling Area 51 with their rich experience and raw death match skills will be too much for vVv to handle. vVv’s scouts will be their main downside regardless of their decent soldiers, so the win will have to be handed to Area 51 Gaming.

Area 51 > vVv (2-0)

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404 Not Found TF2 (6-3-0) vs. Area 51 Gaming (8-0-0) (Thursday, June 11, 2009)

I have a feeling this will follow Area 51's first match of the week, a simple rolling. Once again 404's lack of experience will show and Area 51 will catch both sets without a problem.

404 Not Found TF2 < Area 51 Gaming (2-0)

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Well that brings us to a close of the week's second set of matches. We’ll have a few close ones here and there but I have a feeling most will be cut pretty clear. But who knows maybe we’ll experience a few upsets, anything that makes it more exciting for us is a good thing. Let’s just hope we don’t have to deal with as many forfeits, at least not as many as we had this week.

Last Updated ( Monday, 03 August 2009 00:47 )
 
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